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tail risk

2 posts tagged tail risk from Uncertainty Game.

wargame design red teaming tail risk

Phantom Stabilizers: Designing Wargames That Remove the Assumptions Keeping Your Model From Breaking

Most wargames never break because hidden stabilizing assumptions prevent it. Here's how to find and remove them before the real world does.

E. Sokolov

· May 28, 2026 · 4 min read

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wargame design cognitive bias

Negative Space: Designing Wargames Around What Players Refuse to Consider

How to design wargames that force players to engage with the options, threats, and outcomes they've already decided are impossible.

E. Sokolov

· May 11, 2026 · 4 min read

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wargame design red teaming scenario design tabletop exercises red team doctrine simulation failure modes wargame mechanics adjudication adversarial adaptation adversarial play anomalies

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